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Who’s drinking coffee?

Posted in Coffee Service, Miri Market, research by Anne

Since making the decision to start our coffee service business, I’ve been doing some research (of course!) on coffee consumption. One very interesting site is The National Coffee Association of USA, Inc.

Here are some of the more interesting highlights from their National Coffee Drinking Trends 2008 study:

17% of the adult population consumed a gourmet coffee beverage on a daily basis in 2008
compared  with 14% in 2007.

• In 2007, past-day consumption of coffee surpassed that of soft drinks for the first time. While the gap narrowed in 2008, daily consumption of coffee is still directionally higher.

18 to 24 year olds are becoming serious coffee drinkers. In 2005, only 26 percent of young adults in that age bracket considered themselves coffee drinkers. By 2007, that figure was up to 37%, making the 18-24 year old coffee market the fastest growing segment of the market. Older adults, in the 40 to 59 year old bracket, are also big coffee drinkers. This age group increased from 59 percent to 61 percent over the previous year, and those age 60 and over report the most coffee consumers - 74 percent of adults in that age bracket reported that they drink coffee every day.

• Consumption of cups per day by consumers age 18-24 continued to trend higher in 2008. Young adults who drank coffee consumed an average of 3.2 cups per day as compared with 3.1 in 2007, a significant increase over 2005’s level of 2.5 cups per day.

So, coffee consumption is going up, but what about the economy? Coffee houses aren’t doing so well these days, are they? The International Coffee Organization released a report in February on the “World Economic Crisis and the Coffee Sector”:

Early reports show that food sales are holding up better than those of non-food
products.  It seems that big chains are competing by cutting prices rather than losing market
share or seeing the volume of sales decrease, even at the expense of profits.  In the developed
country markets of North America, Europe and Japan, which account for approximately
58% of world consumption, coffee is a staple good that represents only a small fraction of
consumer spending.  The information available suggests that coffee consumption in these
markets is holding up well.  Instead of limiting overall intake, consumers are more likely to
shift from out-of-home to in-home consumption and from higher cost products to cheaper
brands.  This trend to less expensive products is corroborated by the strong results reported
by discount food retailers and by reduced earnings in the speciality coffee sector in the last
quarter of 2008.

Increasing coffee consumption, especially among young adults, bodes well for the future of the coffee industry, despite the downturn in the economy. These coffee-drinkers know a good cappuccino when they taste it, and our Miri Market coffee service will allow businesses to offer barista-style coffee drinks to their employees and clients for a fraction of the coffee house price - a great thing in this economy.

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A Year Of Light, Motion and Magic

Posted in Blogging, Miri Market, Woman entrepreneur by Anne

Happy Birthday to me! I began this Light, Motion and Magic blog a year ago - and what a great year it has been! Today I’d like to write a little about what I’ve learned from the blogging experience - and since this blog is all about being a woman entrepreneur starting my business - I’ll outline where my business efforts are right now.

This blogging experience has been terrific. There have been both outward and inward benefits to this blog. I started it because I realized that there is an online community that I would need to understand, reach out to and be a part of if I were ever going to make a success of my online business. That online community is every bit as robust as I thought it would be, and more. The other blogs and bloggers that I’ve followed, those I’ve communicated with in forums, and the additional Twitter community that I engage with has simply become a part of my life now. Yes, it takes up time, but it’s well, well worth it. I have a genuine fondness and respect for the friends I’ve made online, and the times I’ve reached out, I’ve rarely been disappointed.

On an internal level, I can’t overstate how important it has been, as I’ve gone through this business start-up process, to take the time to concentrate my thoughts and experiences as I’ve gone along. Yes, it’s been hard to think of exactly what to write about sometimes, but the effort has always been rewarding, and has often crystallized my thinking, or spurred me to more needed research.

I am very, very glad that I took the leap to try this online format, and I look forward to another year with you!

My latest test of patience in getting Miri Market off the ground is finally drawing to an end. Johannes will be done with the design enhancements soon, which I am very excited to see. After that, I look forward to getting reactions to the concept from people through online surveys and face-to-face research.

The economic conditions in which we find ourselves is going to affect my business decisions, without a doubt. It’s tough enough to get a business off the ground, even without the tremors of a looming economic crisis shaking that very ground. I will continue to move forward very cautiously. Admittedly, getting Miri Market going has been s-l-o-w-w-w-w, but I’ve always believed that the process will unfold as it should, in due time. Perhaps the delays have been a good thing, and I should be grateful that the nervousness of watching the economy this week was not compounded by having a container of new product to launch and sell! These are uncertain times, for sure, highlighting the need to minimize risk and do my research to make sure this is a product that will be well-received.

Thus, I start out on Year Two of this blog. As I proceed with my business plans through the months ahead I will continue to write about my experiences and bring to you my honest observations and insights. I thank all my readers, and I hope you’ll keep stopping by to take this journey with me.

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A Question For Every Person Reading This Blog

Posted in Miscellany by Anne

Anne Florenzano12.jpg

“How much, if at all, should the economic climate affect my business startup planning?”

Please click on the “Comment” link above to leave your answer.

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SBA 2007 Fourth Quarter Report On The Economy And Small Business

Posted in Business resources by Anne

_MG_7831.jpgYesterday I received the Quarterly Indicators from the Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy. Here is part of it:

FOURTH QUARTER 2007: THE ECONOMY AND SMALL BUSINESS

Trends

• The U.S. economy was weaker in the fourth quarter of 2007, with real GDP ending the year at a 0.6 percent annualized growth rate. The weaker dollar helped boost real exports, which increased at an annualized 3.9 percent, while real imports were constant. Consumer spending increased by an annualized 2.0 percent. Investment remained weak, particularly in the residential sector where the nation has seen steady declines. In December 2007, new housing starts averaged an annualized 1.0 million homes–less than half the average level seen in 2005. The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing composite index fell below 50 in December– the lowest reading since April 2003–suggesting that manufacturing output was contracting.

• The public remained somewhat pessimistic in the fourth quarter according to both the National Federation of Independent Business’s optimism index and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey.

• Unemployment rose to 5.0 percent in December 2007, its highest level since April 2005. It was low by historical standards, however. The economy generated 282,000 net new jobs in the fourth quarter, and 1.1 million during the entire year. The goods-producing sectors of construction and manufacturing saw declines. Nearly all of the net job gains in 2007 stemmed from service industries: trade, transportation, and utilities; professional and business services; education and health services; leisure and hospitality; and government. Unincorporated self-employment fell in the fourth quarter, and incorporated self-employment remained essentially unchanged.  Nonfarm labor productivity grew slower in the fourth quarter than in the previous two quarters.

• The Federal Reserve Board lowered its target federal funds rate twice in the fourth quarter of 2007.  As a result, the prime rate, which began the quarter at 7.75 percent, ended it at 7.25 percent.  (Editor’s note: As of today, the rate has fallen further - courtesy of additional cuts by the Federal Reserve in the first quarter of 2008 - and now stands at 6.0 percent.)  The Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officers’ Survey suggests sustained weakness in the demand for small loans, with some tightening of lending standards. Two other indicators–the total amount of venture capital deals and the total amount invested–both fell in the fourth quarter of 2007, but they were higher than in the fourth quarter of 2006.

• Inflationary pressures persisted, as the country saw large gains in consumer prices. When examining core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, inflation appeared more modest–growing at an annualized 2.7 percent in the fourth quarter. The price of oil, which surpassed $100 per barrel at one point in December, averaged $91.37 for the month, up $11.44 for the quarter and nearly $30 for the year. Employee benefit costs outstripped gains in employee wages and salaries.

What is my take on all this? It’s not a great time to be thinking about starting a new business! I’m going to keep moving forward, however, and keep a wary on on the business climate.

If you want to see the Small Business Indicator numbers, go to the full report at
http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/sbqei0704.pdf

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